Who will religious voters choose in 2024?

Critical Analysis

Find answers to the following questions using the visual above, any links below, your big brain, and your knowledge of American government and politics:

  1. What religious group is most supportive of the Republican presidential candidate?

  2. Besides the data in the chart above, what other information would you need to know to more accurately predict the winner of the 2024 presidential election?

  3. Why do you think White evangelicals like Republicans so much?

  4. What religious group is most evenly split between Harris and Trump?

  5. Many pundits say that America is a very divided country. What does this data say about that?

  6. How accurately does the data. in the visual above reflect your own religious and party affiliation?

  7. This year Donald Trump told an audience, “Christians, get out and vote just this time. You won't have to do it anymore, four more years. You know what? It'll be fixed. It'll be fine. You won't have to vote anymore, my beautiful Christians. I love you.” Why do you think Trump said this?

  8. The majority of all American voters are Christian (Protestant and Catholic), but America is home to many different faiths. How do you think the diversity of American faiths impacts American politics?

  9. Some campaign advisors looking at the data above would advise Kamala Harris to reach out to her base (strongest supporters) - Black Protestant voters - and try to turn out their vote. Others would say that she should try to target strong Trump voters - White evangelical voters - and try to peel them away from her opponent. Explain which tactic you believe would be more effective in winning a race that is so close.

  10. How do you think the different religious groups from the visual above compare by age?*

Write and Discuss

Take ten minutes to write about the question at the top of the page and then discuss with your classmates.

Act on your Learning

If you will be 18 by November 5, go to http://vote.gov. and register to vote. It will take less than 2 minutes. If you aren’t old enough to vote, share this link with someone who is.

Get Creative

Imagine you were the campaign manager for either candidate. Write the script of an ad that you would run to try to reach your strongest religious supporters.

Learning Extension*

 
 
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How many states flipped from voting for one party in the 2016 presidential election to voting for the other in 2020?

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