Elasticity in the USA

How elastic (open to political change) is your state? [The higher the number the more open to change.]

  1. How accurate was your prediction?

  2. What geographical trends or patterns do you see in the data?

  3. Why do you think that is?

  4. How does that impact US politics and elections?

  5. Why do you think one district would be more likely to change than another?

  6. Would you generally agree with how the chart characterizes the level of elasticity (changeability, malleability, openness) your state has?

  7. If you crunched all these numbers and gave the United States as a whole an elasticity score, explain what you think it would be.

  8. And what would your own personal elasticity score be?

  9. Overall, how much do you think this data will impact incumbents in the upcoming election?

  10. Do you think a low elasticity score (unlikely to change) is better than a high elasticity score (more likely to change)?

  11. 40 of 50 U.S. states have voted for the same party since 2000. But Every presidential election year we hear about swing states, those states that could go either way and are too close to call. What is the connection between swing states and elasticity?

  12. What is the elasticity score for the following swing states: Ohio, pennsylvania, North Carolina, COLORADO, NEVADA?

  13. Based on the source (FiveThirtyEight), is this data reasonable and trustworthy?

  14. Rank the following factors in terms of how much they impact elasticity: political party affiliation, gender, age, location (rural v. urban):

  15. The chart shows lots of elasticity between states. Explain whether you think there is much elasticity within states.

Learning Extension

Read the entire FiveThirtyEight Elasticity article and love it!

Action Extension

Take this map of the United States, create a elasticity color key, and color in the map. Share your map with class or online. Tweet your elasticity map to @UsGoPoPro

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