What did we learn from the exit polls?

Critical Analysis

Find answers to the following questions using the visual above, any links below, your big brain, and your knowledge of American government and politics:

  1. An exit poll is a survey of voters taken as they leave (or exit) their voting location. Unlike public opinion polls ahead of elections that predict whether respondents will vote, exit polls capture the views of voters in person on Election Day. The exit poll also reflects the views of people who voted early or by mail — we take steps to reach those voters by phone and by mail, as well as online. Exit polls are an imperfect measure of the public, and no group of voters is monolithic, however exit polls give us lots of insights into voting behavior. Based on the exit polling data above, what portion of women voted Democratic in the 2026 midterm elections?

  2. According to the data above, what portion of all voters in the 2026 midterm election were women?

  3. We use the term gender gap describes the difference by which both genders tend to support one party more than the other. Typically, women vote more Democratic then men who vote more Republican. Although both men and women voted for Democrats more than for Republican, describe the gender gap in the 2026 election.

  4. Although no voting group is monolithic, women clearly favored the Democratic party in the 2026 midterm elections. Why do you think women voted more Democratic in 2026?

  5. What demographic group made the biggest shift from the 2024 election to the 2026 election?

  6. What is the one and only demographic group that favored Republicans in the 2026 election?

  7. It’s interesting to note that the Hispanic vote shifted 28 points for the Democratic party. Why do you think that is?

  8. I have heard a number of political analysts say that Generation Z and the youth vote was the biggest reason that Democrats trounced the Republicans in the mindterm. Respond to that claim, based on the data above.

  9. Despite the clarity in the numbers above, we still don’t know the outcome of many elections, nor do we know the final party breakdown of the new congress. Explain why exit polling data does not translate more directly into congressional control (see visual below*).

  10. What do you think the take-away message of the data above is?

Write and Discuss

Take ten minutes to write about the question at the top of the page and then discuss with your classmates.

Act on your Learning

Contact one winner from the 2026 midterm election and congratulate them on their victory.

Get Creative

Based on the election results, if the newly elected congress were an animal, what animal would it be?

Learning Extension*

Senate Results*

House Results*

*As of 12:45 PM on November 4, 2026

*As of 12:45 PM on November 4, 2026

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Who won the 2026 midterms?