Which American political party has more members?

Critical Analysis

Find answers to the following questions using the visual above, any links below, your big brain, and your knowledge of American government and politics:

  1. In October/November 1992, what was the gap in party identification between Democrats and Republicans in the U.S.?

  2. In October/November 1992, which party won the presidential election?

  3. In every year between 1992 and 2020, which party had the advantage in party identification?

  4. In 2024. which party had the advantage in party identification?

  5. Draw a conclusion about party identification advantage and the likelihood of winning presidential elections.

  6. In three of the eight elections shown in the visual above, the party with fewer members won the presidency. Based on your knowledge of American politics, draw a conclusion about how a party with less members could possibly win a presidential election.

  7. Some pundits (experts) claim that the 2024 election was about immigration, others claim it was about economics, still others claim it was about gender. On the other hand, there are those who would argue that the winner of the election has nothing to do with policy or personality, but instead is all about fundamentals - who has more members. Based on the visual above, explain your view of what decides presidential elections.

  8. Why do you think there are currently more Republicans than Democrats?

  9. The Democratic Party had a party identification advantage for almost 30 years. Now it has ended. Explain whether Republicans will have a party identification advantage for the next 30 years.

  10. In 2000 about 7% of U.S. voters were Hispanic. By 2024, Hispanic voters were almost 15% of the electorate. Not only has the Hispanic vote grown, it’s also changed. It’s interesting to note that the Hispanic vote in the 2000 presidential election was 62% Democrat to 35% Republican; the 2020 Presidential election was 65% Democrat to 32% Republican; and in this year’s presidential election, Democrats were won 53% of the Hispanic vote to 45% for the Republican party. How do you think changes in Hispanic voting is reflected in the visual above.

Write and Discuss

Take ten minutes to write about the question at the top of the page and then discuss with your classmates.

Act on your Learning

Contact the Republican Party or the Democratic Party and let them know what they need to do to get more people to join them.

Get Creative

I had AI write a poem about party affiliation. Here it is. See if you can do better with your AI generated poem.

In the grand theater of American might,
Party affiliation takes its fervent flight.
Red and Blue, a nation's divide,
Ideals clashing, passions collide.

A tapestry woven with threads of belief,
Loyalty pledged, seeking relief.
From left to right, a spectrum's hue,
Shaping policies, perspectives askew.

In the heart of democracy's call,
Party lines can both rise and fall.
A dance of power, a constant sway,
As voters choose their destined way.

Yet, beyond the partisan fray,
A yearning for unity holds sway.
For in the end, we're bound as one,
A nation striving, 'til the day is done.

So let us bridge the partisan divide,
Seek common ground, with open stride.
For in our differences, strength we find,
A united nation, heart and mind.

Learning Extension*

Read the complete exit polling data.

 
 
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What state had the highest voter turnout in 2024?

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How did American counties swing in the 2024 election?